Could the true coronavirus death toll be much higher? CDC data reveals there have been 200,700 excess deaths during the pandemic - 54,000 more than the 161,000 confirmed COVID fatalities

Data from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention has revealed there has been 200,700 excess deaths during the pandemic - surpassing the confirmed 162,000 COVID-19 death toll.
In August, the United States continued to amass the largest COVID-19 death toll across the world and the number topped 162,000 this week.  
But according to a New York Times analysis of CDC data, there have actually been 200,700 excess deaths in the country between March 15 to July 25. 
The estimated 200,700 excess deaths is 54,000 higher than the official CDC COVID-19 death toll during that period which was 146,254. 
Excess deaths by the CDC are defined as 'the difference between the observed numbers of deaths in specific time periods and expected numbers of deaths in the same time periods'. 
The graph  above shows the weekly excess deaths recorded by the CDC between April and July
The graph  above shows the weekly excess deaths recorded by the CDC between April and July
Based on CDC data analyzed by The New York Times, places like New York City, New Jersey and New York state (excluding NYC) were among the top five places that recorded above normal levels of deaths during the pandemic
Based on CDC data analyzed by The New York Times, places like New York City, New Jersey and New York state (excluding NYC) were among the top five places that recorded above normal levels of deaths during the pandemic 
A graph from the CDC shows the number of excess deaths in the United States between April and July this year compared to previous years
A graph from the CDC shows the number of excess deaths in the United States between April and July this year compared to previous years
Excess Deaths from March 15 to July 25                                                                                                                                          Source: New York Times
State% above normal  Excess Deaths Reported COVID-19 deaths 3/15 to 7/25  Gap 
*New York City 143 27,20022,9464,200 
New Jersey 69  18,000 15,774 2,200 
New York (excluding NYC) 40  14,200 9,347 4,900 
Texas  18  13,400 5,002 8,500 
California 14  13,000 8,4235,000 
Pennsylvania 28  10,500 7,1675,800 
Illinois 29  10,500 7,5932,900 
Michigan  28  9,900 6,4023,500 
Florida 13  9,700 5,7734,000 
Massachusetts 42  8,200 8,419-- 
Arizona  27  6,100 3,2882,800 
Connecticut 75  5,900 4,186 1,700 
Maryland 29  5,200 3,433 1,800 
Ohio12  4,900 3,132 1,800 
Louisiana 32  4,900 3,5081,400 
Georgia 15  4,400 3,104 1,300 
Virginia 16  3,900 2,0741,800 
Indiana 17  3,700 2,820900 
South Carolina  18  3,200 1,4651,800 
Mississippi 24  2,700 1,4801,200 
Colorado 18  2,600 1,793800 
Alabama 13  2,400 1,4561,000 
North Carolina 9 2,200 1,239900 
Missouri 9 2,000 1,224 800 
Minnesota 12 1,800 1,6111200 
Tennessee 7 1,800 953 800 
Washington State 8 1,700 1,552 100 
Wisconsin8 1,500 900 600 
Puerto Rico 14  1,100 152 900 
New Mexico 16  1,100 607 400 
Kentucky  1,000 688 300 
Washington D.C. 50  900 578 400 
Delaware 31  800 927 400 
Rhode Island 30  900 523 400 
Nevada  800 733 100
Arkansas  800 399 400 
Iowa  800 826 --- 
New Hampshire 15  600 409 200 
Oregon  600 258 300 
Oklahoma   600 421 200 
Utah 8 500 278200 
Kansas  400 332 100 
Nebraska  300 308 60 
Vermont 16  300 56 200 
Idaho  200 150 100 
South Dakota  100 121 30 
North Dakota  100 94 50 
Maine  100 119 <10 
West Virginia  100 84 40 
Montana  100 37 80 
Wyoming  100 24 90 
Alaska Below Normal  <0 10 ---- 
Hawaii Below Normal  <0 25 ---- 
The NYT analysis went beyond just COVID-19-related deaths and included deaths from all causes during that period, per CDC reporting. 
This allows for a window into the United State's death toll that isn't dependent on the availability of COVID-19 tests in states or the accuracy of reporting in different regions. 
The CDC noted that some deaths related to COVID-19 may accidentally be counted under another category.
'As some deaths due to COVID-19 may be assigned to other causes of deaths (for example, if COVID-19 was not diagnosed or not mentioned on the death certificate), tracking all-cause mortality can provide information about whether an excess number of deaths is observed, even when COVID-19 mortality may be undercounted,' the agency wrote. 

Only Alaska, Hawaii, Maine and West Virginia show death toll numbers that resemble previous years with West Virginia and Maine recording 100 excess deaths each and Hawaii and Alaska both recording zero
Only Alaska, Hawaii, Maine and West Virginia show death toll numbers that resemble previous years with West Virginia and Maine recording 100 excess deaths each and Hawaii and Alaska both recording zero 
The process of counting COVID-19 deaths, and deaths in general during the pandemic, is also marred by several states and the CDC having a lag in reporting. 
The CDC's estimates are adjusted based on how mortality data has lagged in the past. 
But the numbers are clear, more Americans died from March 15 to July 25 this year than in previous years and the official COVID-19 death toll contributed to a large chunk of that.
This is at odds with the Trump administration's insistence that COVID-19 death toll numbers are greatly exaggerated and a number of conservatives have adopted the conspiracy that the numbers were inflated for political gain.  
Dr. Anthony Fauci, a top White House coronavirus task force coordinator, previously dispelled that notion by noting the death toll is 'almost certainly higher' that is being reported.
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Above average death rates have become common in a number of states, including New Jersey and New York.   
The data from the NYT shows that New York City, the country's original pandemic epicenter, has experienced the most significant increase of excess deaths at 27,000 - 143 percent higher than normal.
Similarly, the analysis determined that several states with deaths at least 10 percent above average level had increased. 
New Jersey recorded an estimated 18,000 excess deaths during that four month period, while New York State had 14,200 such deaths. 
Only Alaska, Hawaii, Maine and West Virginia show death toll numbers that resemble previous years with West Virginia and Maine recording 100 excess deaths each and Hawaii and Alaska both recording zero. 
There are currently more than 161,000 deaths in the U.S. from coronavirus and almost 5 million confirmed cases. 
Members of the 128th Brigade Support Battalion of the Pennsylvania Army National Guard work loading boxes of food into cars at a distribution for the Greater Pittsburgh Community Food Bank in Pennsylvania in April
Members of the 128th Brigade Support Battalion of the Pennsylvania Army National Guard work loading boxes of food into cars at a distribution for the Greater Pittsburgh Community Food Bank in Pennsylvania in April
New York state, and specifically New York City, topped the analysis' data for having the highest number of excessive deaths during the pandemic so far. Pictured: Healthcare workers wheel a person outside Wyckoff Heights Medical Center during the outbreak of the coronavirus disease on April 5 - the height of the pandemic in the city
New York state, and specifically New York City, topped the analysis' data for having the highest number of excessive deaths during the pandemic so far. Pictured: Healthcare workers wheel a person outside Wyckoff Heights Medical Center during the outbreak of the coronavirus disease on April 5 - the height of the pandemic in the city
Pictured: Cars form lines on April 4 at a federally-supported drive-thru testing site for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) at PNC Bank Arts Center in Holmdel, New Jersey, which experience a high level of excessive deaths
Pictured: Cars form lines on April 4 at a federally-supported drive-thru testing site for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) at PNC Bank Arts Center in Holmdel, New Jersey, which experience a high level of excessive deaths
Could the true coronavirus death toll be much higher? CDC data reveals there have been 200,700 excess deaths during the pandemic - 54,000 more than the 161,000 confirmed COVID fatalities Could the true coronavirus death toll be much higher? CDC data reveals there have been 200,700 excess deaths during the pandemic - 54,000 more than the 161,000 confirmed COVID fatalities Reviewed by CUZZ BLUE on August 09, 2020 Rating: 5

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