Will Trump Win? The Latest On Trump’s National And State-By-State Approval Ratings.

As the 2020 Democratic Party presidential candidates battle it out for the nomination, politicos must also pay close attention to President Donald Trump's approval rating across the 50 states. While Trump's national approval rating has been hovering below 50% for his entire presidency, it was on the upswing for the beginning of the summer before only beginning to falter a bit toward the end of July.

Historically, presidents have fared well in re-election campaigns when they maintain approval ratings above 50%. This president, to be sure, has never had such an approval rating at any point throughout his presidency. But President Trump oversees a soaring economy, with record-low unemployment rates, and has a hardened base of core supporters. One must also never forget the sheer power of incumbency: Since FDR, only Presidents Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush were elected and then subsequently not re-elected four years later.

Yet, fair-minded observers must still ask: If Trump's overall approval rating number stays below 50%, will Trump be able to defy historical trends for presidential incumbents?

As of August 29, 2019, the RealClearPolitics average for Trump's national job approval rating sits at 42.8% — or 11.3% underwater.

The Daily Wire will be tracking Trump's state-by-state approval rating as the general election nears. Here is the latest Trump approval rating information from across all the various swing states.

Battleground State-By-State Trump Approval Rating (data via Morning Consult's July 2019 monthly survey)

ARIZONA:

• 2016 presidential result: Trump + 3.57%
• Governor: Republican
• U.S. Senate: Republican, Democrat
• Current Trump approval rating: -7%

COLORADO:

• 2016 presidential result: Clinton + 4.91%
• Governor: Democrat
• U.S. Senate: Republican, Democrat
• Current Trump approval rating: -12%

FLORIDA:

• 2016 presidential result: Trump + 1.20%
• Governor: Republican
• U.S. Senate: Republican, Republican
• Current Trump approval rating: -1%

GEORGIA:

• 2016 presidential result: Trump + 5.09%
• Governor: Republican
• U.S. Senate: Republican, Republican
• Current Trump approval rating: +2%

IOWA:

• 2016 presidential result: Trump + 9.41%
• Governor: Republican
• U.S. Senate: Republican, Republican
• Current Trump approval rating: -11%

MICHIGAN:

• 2016 presidential result: Trump + 0.23%
• Governor: Democrat
• U.S. Senate: Democrat, Democrat
• Current Trump approval rating: -11%

MINNESOTA:

 

• 2016 presidential result: Clinton + 1.51%
• Governor: Democrat
• U.S. Senate: Democrat, Democrat
• Current Trump approval rating: -14%

NEVADA:

• 2016 presidential result: Clinton + 2.42%
• Governor: Democrat
• U.S. Senate: Democrat, Democrat
• Current Trump approval rating: -11%

NEW HAMPSHIRE:

• 2016 presidential result: Clinton + 0.37%
• Governor: Democrat
• U.S. Senate: Democrat, Democrat
• Current Trump approval rating: -17%

NORTH CAROLINA:

• 2016 presidential result: Trump + 3.66%
• Governor: Republican
• U.S. Senate: Republican, Republican
• Current Trump approval rating: -1%

OHIO:

• 2016 presidential result: Trump + 8.13%
• Governor: Republican
• U.S. Senate: Republican, Democrat
• Current Trump approval rating: -6%

PENNSYLVANIA:

• 2016 presidential result: Trump + 0.72%
• Governor: Democrat
• U.S. Senate: Republican, Democrat
• Current Trump approval rating: -8%

TEXAS:

• 2016 presidential result: Trump + 8.99%
• Governor: Republican
• U.S. Senate: Republican, Republican
• Current Trump approval rating: +6%

VIRGINIA:

• 2016 presidential result: Clinton + 5.32%
• Governor: Democrat
• U.S. Senate: Democrat, Democrat
• Current Trump approval rating: -4%

WISCONSIN:

 

• 2016 presidential result: Trump + 0.77%
• Governor: Democrat
• U.S. Senate: Republican, Democrat
• Current Trump approval rating: -14%

This article has been updated to reflect the most recent survey data.