Former President Donald Trump has caught up to Vice President Kamala Harris in a new NBC poll released Sunday. Trump is tied with Harris at 48%, and leads by 47%-46% in an “expanded ballot” with third party candidates.
The poll also shows that Trump’s popularity is increasing, as Harris’s declines, with three weeks until Election Day.
From NBC:
In the new poll — which was conducted Oct. 4-8 — Harris gets support from 48% of registered voters in a head-to-head matchup, while Trump gets an identical 48%. Another 4% say they are undecided or wouldn’t vote for either option when forced to choose between those two major-party candidates.
That’s a change from September’s NBC News poll, which found Harris leading Trump by 5 points, 49%-44%, though that result was within the margin of error.
An expanded ballot including third-party candidates also shows this shift, with 47% of registered voters in the new poll picking Trump, 46% supporting Harris and a combined 7% picking other candidates or saying they’re undecided.
NBC suggests that the shift is due to Republican voters returning to Trump, and Harris’s declining popularity after a blitz of positive media coverage in the first several weeks after she formally entered the race in late July.
Harris had a net favorability of +3% in September, but that has fallen to -6% in the latest poll. Trump’s net favorability has risen from -13% in September to -8% in the October poll.
The NBC poll reflects other poll results, with the Wall Street Journal poll showing Trump leading Harris, 46%-45%, nationwide. The Journal says that the result in swing states is too close to call but currently gives Harris the edge.
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